Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Desportivo vs Bandeirante

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Foquinha
88' Event
Ayrton

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Desportivo and Bandeirante finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Desportivo
30%
Draws
54%
Bandeirante
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bandeirante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bandeirante come out ahead of Desportivo on wins alone.
  • Bandeirante are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Desportivo Clean Sheet 16%
Bandeirante Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportivo Bandeirante
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Bandeirante
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Paulista A3
Bandeirante vs Desportivo
0:1
Mar 23, 2024 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Bandeirante
1:0
Jan 28, 2023 Paulista A3
Bandeirante vs Desportivo
0:0
Mar 9, 2022 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Bandeirante
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayrton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Bandeirante Compare

Top Goalscorer Foquinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportivo 15 / 100
Bandeirante 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportivo Bandeirante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bandeirante Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportivo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bandeirante let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: Desportivo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Desportivo VS Bandeirante
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportivo

(Home)
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
XV de Jau
14 Mar
Rio Preto EC
4 : 0
Desportivo
11 Mar
Catanduva FC
0 : 0
Desportivo
07 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 1
Uniao Barbarense
04 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
Itapirense
Page 1 of 6

Bandeirante

(Away)
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0
Bandeirante
22 Aug
Linense
2 : 0
Bandeirante
14 Aug
Bandeirante
1 : 0
Gremio Prudente
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 15 12 0 3 26:9 36
2 Marilia 15 9 5 1 23:6 32
3 Rio Preto EC 15 8 5 2 24:13 29
4 XV de Jau 15 8 3 4 16:11 27
5 Rio Claro 15 7 4 4 19:16 25
6 Uniao Barbarense 15 6 6 3 16:14 24
7 EC Sao Bernardo 15 6 5 4 22:15 23
8 Paulista 15 6 5 4 20:13 23
9 Uniao Sao Joao 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
10 Catanduva FC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
11 Bandeirante 15 4 6 5 15:19 18
12 Rio Branco SP 15 4 4 7 13:24 16
13 Francana 15 3 1 11 13:22 10
14 Itapirense 15 2 3 10 14:26 9
15 Desportivo 15 1 5 9 8:25 8
16 Uniao Suzano 15 1 2 12 10:28 5
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)