Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dessel vs Chatelet

Belgium Belgium

First Amateur Division 2018/2019 Armand Melis Stadium, Dessel
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dessel in this First Amateur Division 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dessel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Dessel
30%
Draws
31%
Chatelet
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dessel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dessel lately — more wins on the board than Chatelet.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Dessel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dessel Clean Sheet 15%
Chatelet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dessel Chatelet
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2019 National Division 1
Dessel vs Chatelet
1:0
Oct 6, 2018 National Division 1
Chatelet vs Dessel
1:0
Feb 24, 2018 National Division 1
Dessel vs Chatelet
1:1
Nov 12, 2017 National Division 1
Chatelet vs Dessel
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dessel 41 / 100
Chatelet 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dessel Chatelet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dessel's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Chatelet let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dessel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dessel VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dessel

(Home)
11 Sept
Houtvenne
5 : 0
Dessel
05 Sept
Dessel
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
30 Aug
Tienen
3 : 4
Dessel
26 Apr
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dessel
18 Apr
Dessel
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge 2
Page 1 of 7

Chatelet

(Away)
27 Apr
Chatelet
0 : 0
Knokke
13 Apr
Virton
1 : 0
Chatelet
06 Apr
Chatelet
0 : 3
RFC Seraing
30 Mar
Dessel
1 : 0
Chatelet
23 Mar
Chatelet
2 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thes Sport 30 19 5 6 62:28 62
2 Deinze 30 17 8 5 53:30 59
3 Virton 30 15 9 6 42:20 54
4 Lierse SK 30 13 9 8 42:36 48
5 Boom 30 13 6 11 44:40 45
6 RFC Liege 30 11 8 11 41:35 41
7 RFC Seraing 30 10 11 9 46:40 41
8 RWDM Brussels 30 11 7 12 39:45 40
9 Dender 30 10 10 10 42:40 40
10 Heist 30 10 8 12 29:44 38
11 Chatelet 30 9 9 12 30:37 36
12 Dessel 30 9 8 13 30:39 35
13 Oudenaarde 30 10 4 16 37:59 34
14 ASV Geel 30 9 4 17 42:62 31
15 Aalst 30 7 10 13 35:49 31
16 Knokke 30 6 6 18 35:45 24
Relegation - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)