Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dessel vs K. Lyra-Lierse

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 Armand Melis Stadium, Dessel
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ngoyi J.
25' Event
Van Keilegom A.
54' Event
Troonbeeckx M.

AI Match Summary

Dessel in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dessel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Dessel
35%
Draws
35%
K. Lyra-Lierse
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Dessel have won more games recently than K. Lyra-Lierse.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dessel Clean Sheet 20%
K. Lyra-Lierse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dessel K. Lyra-Lierse
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2.1 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Dessel
3:0
Nov 15, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs K. Lyra-Lierse
5:2
Feb 22, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Dessel
2:2
Dec 7, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs K. Lyra-Lierse
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dessel Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngoyi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van Keilegom A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

K. Lyra-Lierse Compare

Top Goalscorer Struyf J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peffer J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dessel 32 / 100
K. Lyra-Lierse 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dessel K. Lyra-Lierse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick K. Lyra-Lierse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Dessel scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

K. Lyra-Lierse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Dessel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dessel VS K. Lyra-Lierse
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dessel

(Home)
11 Sept
Houtvenne
5 : 0
Dessel
05 Sept
Dessel
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
30 Aug
Tienen
3 : 4
Dessel
26 Apr
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dessel
18 Apr
Dessel
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge 2
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K. Lyra-Lierse

(Away)
12 Sept
Hoogstraten
4 : 4
K. Lyra-Lierse
05 Sept
Mandel United
1 : 1
K. Lyra-Lierse
29 Aug
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 3
Thes Sport
26 Apr
K. Lyra-Lierse
4 : 3
Houtvenne
19 Apr
Leuven B
2 : 0
K. Lyra-Lierse
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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