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Dessel vs KRC Harelbeke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Troonbeeckx M.
57' Event
Sposito F.
70' Event
Cuypers V.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV game between Dessel and KRC Harelbeke finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dessel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Dessel
30%
Draws
8%
KRC Harelbeke
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dessel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dessel come out ahead of KRC Harelbeke on wins alone.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Dessel taking it.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Dessel Clean Sheet 16%
KRC Harelbeke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dessel KRC Harelbeke
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs KRC Harelbeke
4:0
Mar 13, 2004 Challenger Pro League
Dessel vs KRC Harelbeke
1:1
Nov 1, 2003 Challenger Pro League
KRC Harelbeke vs Dessel
1:2
Oct 26, 2002 Challenger Pro League
Dessel vs KRC Harelbeke
0:0
Aug 14, 2002 Challenger Pro League
KRC Harelbeke vs Dessel
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dessel Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuypers V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Troonbeeckx M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

KRC Harelbeke Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dessel 84 / 100
KRC Harelbeke 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dessel KRC Harelbeke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dessel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KRC Harelbeke let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Dessel found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dessel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dessel VS KRC Harelbeke
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dessel

(Home)
03 Oct
Dessel
4 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
30 Sept
Merelbeke
1 : 1
Dessel
19 Sept
Dessel
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
11 Sept
Houtvenne
5 : 0
Dessel
05 Sept
Dessel
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
Page 1 of 6

KRC Harelbeke

(Away)
03 Oct
Dessel
4 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
30 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
3 : 3
Hoogstraten
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
05 Sept
Heist
2 : 1
KRC Harelbeke
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 6 5 0 1 17:8 15
2 Leuven B 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
3 SK Roeselare 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
4 Merelbeke 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Dessel 6 3 2 1 13:11 11
6 Mandel United 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
7 Knokke 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
8 Thes Sport 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 Tienen 6 2 2 2 12:8 8
10 Belisia Bilzen 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
11 Heist 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Hoogstraten 6 1 3 2 14:13 6
13 K. Lyra-Lierse 6 1 3 2 12:16 6
14 Cercle Brugge 2 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
15 Zelzate 6 0 3 3 5:12 3
16 KRC Harelbeke 6 0 1 5 4:19 1
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