Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dessel vs SK Roeselare

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 Armand Melis Stadium, Dessel
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Harinck A.
28' Event
van Marcke H.
Own Goal
29' Event
Samyn E.

AI Match Summary

SK Roeselare in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored SK Roeselare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dessel
30%
Draws
33%
SK Roeselare
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dessel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Dessel at 2.14 per game, SK Roeselare at 1.68.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Dessel Clean Sheet 11%
SK Roeselare Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dessel SK Roeselare
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 2.14 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs SK Roeselare
3:4
Sep 28, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
SK Roeselare vs Dessel
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dessel Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathei J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rau S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SK Roeselare Compare

Top Goalscorer Debouver D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Harinck A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dessel 30 / 100
SK Roeselare 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dessel SK Roeselare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SK Roeselare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Dessel found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

SK Roeselare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Dessel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dessel VS SK Roeselare
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dessel

(Home)
30 Sept
Merelbeke
1 : 1
Dessel
19 Sept
Dessel
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
11 Sept
Houtvenne
5 : 0
Dessel
05 Sept
Dessel
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
30 Aug
Tienen
3 : 4
Dessel
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SK Roeselare

(Away)
30 Sept
SK Roeselare
0 : 1
Thes Sport
26 Sept
SK Roeselare
1 : 2
Patro Eisden
20 Sept
Tienen
1 : 1
SK Roeselare
13 Sept
SK Roeselare
1 : 0
Mandel United
06 Sept
Zelzate
0 : 3
SK Roeselare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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