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Dessel vs Zelzate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 Armand Melis Stadium, Dessel
Dessel Logo

Dessel

3 - 1
FT
Zelzate Logo

Zelzate

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Hallaert L.
58' Event
Sposito F.
76' Event
Mathei J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dessel in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dessel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Dessel
35%
Draws
13%
Zelzate
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dessel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Dessel have won more games recently than Zelzate.
  • Dessel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Dessel Clean Sheet 19%
Zelzate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dessel Zelzate
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Zelzate
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Zelzate vs Dessel
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dessel Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathei J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sposito F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Zelzate Compare

Top Goalscorer Hallaert L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dessel 85 / 100
Zelzate 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dessel Zelzate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dessel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zelzate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Dessel scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Dessel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dessel VS Zelzate
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dessel

(Home)
03 Oct
Dessel
4 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
30 Sept
Merelbeke
1 : 1
Dessel
19 Sept
Dessel
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
11 Sept
Houtvenne
5 : 0
Dessel
05 Sept
Dessel
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
Page 1 of 6

Zelzate

(Away)
03 Oct
Thes Sport
1 : 1
Zelzate
30 Sept
Zelzate
0 : 0
Knokke
20 Sept
Zelzate
0 : 3
Houtvenne
13 Sept
Leuven B
4 : 3
Zelzate
06 Sept
Zelzate
0 : 3
SK Roeselare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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