Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Detroit City vs Louisville City

USA USA

USL Cup Keyworth Stadium, Hamtramck, MI
Sat, Jun 20, 2026
0 - 1
09:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Showunmi T.
39'
Silva T.
51'
Duncan Z.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Louisville City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Detroit City
20%
Draws
38%
Louisville City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Detroit City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Detroit City haven't matched Louisville City's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Detroit City's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Louisville City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Louisville City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Detroit City Clean Sheet 17%
Louisville City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Detroit City Louisville City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 USL Cup
Detroit City vs Louisville City
0:1
May 2, 2026 USL Championship
Detroit City vs Louisville City
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Detroit City
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 USL Championship
Detroit City vs Louisville City
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Detroit City
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Detroit City 41 / 100
Louisville City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Detroit City Louisville City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Detroit City scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Louisville City let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Detroit City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Detroit City VS Louisville City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Detroit City

(Home)
25 Jul
Detroit City
0 : 1
Las Vegas Lights
18 Jul
Detroit City
2 : 0
Indy Eleven
11 Jul
Fort Wayne
1 : 2
Detroit City
03 Jul
Birmingham Legion
1 : 2
Detroit City
20 Jun
Detroit City
0 : 1
Louisville City
Page 1 of 6

Louisville City

(Away)
26 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
18 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1
Louisville City
12 Jul
Louisville City
4 : 2
Lexington
05 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0
Hartford Athletic
20 Jun
Detroit City
0 : 1
Louisville City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spokane Velocity43016:69
2Sacramento Republic43017:38
3Athletic Club Boise43019:68
4Oakland Roots41034:64
5Las Vegas Lights41034:74
6Monterey Bay41038:103
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colorado Springs440010:112
2New Mexico43018:59
3El Paso Locomotive42025:56
4AV Alta FC42025:66
5Phoenix Rising41033:83
6Orange County SC40043:90
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC44006:111
2Birmingham Legion43018:39
3One Knoxville43016:46
4FC Tulsa41034:74
5Corpus Christi FC41032:64
6Chattanooga Red Wolves40042:72
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City440013:411
2Detroit City42024:48
3Indy Eleven43017:47
4Lexington42028:86
5Union Omaha420210:126
6Forward Madison41036:103
7Fort Wayne40046:121
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hartford Athletic43018:310
2Rhode Island43017:37
3Brooklyn FC42029:57
4Portland Hearts of Pine42027:106
5New York Cosmos41035:114
6Westchester SC41036:102
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence44008:410
2Charleston43019:49
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds42026:38
4Greenville Triumph41034:73
5Loudoun United41034:73
6Richmond Kickers41033:93
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay440010:112
2Miami FC430111:59
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise41032:93
5FC Naples41033:92
6South Georgia Tormenta00000:00
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams