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Devnya 2005 vs Dorostol

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Devnya 2005 host Dorostol in the Third League - North-East. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Dorostol have shipped 2.38 goals a game lately, while Devnya 2005 have conceded 2.5 and scored 0.75. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.80 xG vs 1.25) point toward Devnya 2005. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Devnya 2005
15%
Draws
0%
Dorostol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devnya 2005

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dorostol lately — more wins on the board than Devnya 2005.
  • Win probability leans Devnya 2005's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Devnya 2005 Clean Sheet 19%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Devnya 2005 Dorostol
Matches Played 4 29
Wins 1 4
Draws 0 4
Losses 3 21
Goals Scored 0.75 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.80 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Devnya 2005 85 / 100
Dorostol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Devnya 2005 Dorostol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devnya 2005 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorostol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Dorostol lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Devnya 2005 scored in 50% of their last 4 outings.

Devnya 2005 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Devnya 2005 VS Dorostol
0.6 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 3
60% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Devnya 2005

(Home)
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
30 Aug
Devnya 2005
0 : 3
Benkovski
26 Aug
Volov Shumen
2 : 0
Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Devnya 2005
1 : 0
FK Riltzi

Dorostol

(Away)
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
26 Aug
FK Riltzi
1 : 0
Dorostol
22 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 4
Svetkavitsa 2014
30 May
Chernolomets
3 : 0
Dorostol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Volov Shumen 5 4 1 0 19:3 13
2 Svetkavitsa 2014 5 4 1 0 13:3 13
3 Ludogorets III 5 3 1 1 13:4 10
4 Chernomorets Balchik 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
5 FK Riltzi 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
6 Chernolomets 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
7 Benkovski 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
8 Botev Novi Pazar 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Septemvri Dragoevo 4 2 1 1 10:9 7
10 Cherno More II 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
11 Olympic Varna 5 2 0 3 13:16 6
12 Septemvri Tervel 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
13 Devnya 2005 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
14 Aksakovo 5 0 1 4 6:18 1
15 Fratria II 5 0 1 4 4:21 1
16 Ustrem Donchevo 5 0 0 5 9:20 0
17 Dorostol 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)