Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Devnya 2005 vs Ustrem Donchevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Devnya 2005 and Ustrem Donchevo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Devnya 2005.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Devnya 2005
20%
Draws
16%
Ustrem Donchevo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Devnya 2005

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ustrem Donchevo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Devnya 2005 Clean Sheet 10%
Ustrem Donchevo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Devnya 2005 Ustrem Donchevo
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 1 4
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1 2.03
Goals Conceded 2 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Third League - North-East
Devnya 2005 vs Ustrem Donchevo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Devnya 2005 29 / 100
Ustrem Donchevo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Devnya 2005 Ustrem Donchevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devnya 2005 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ustrem Donchevo has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Ustrem Donchevo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Devnya 2005 scored in 57% of their last 7 games.

Scoring Trends

Devnya 2005 VS Ustrem Donchevo
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Devnya 2005

(Home)
03 Oct
Devnya 2005
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
26 Sept
Fratria II
1 : 0
Devnya 2005
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2
Dorostol
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
30 Aug
Devnya 2005
0 : 3
Benkovski
Page 1 of 2

Ustrem Donchevo

(Away)
03 Oct
Devnya 2005
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
20 Sept
Benkovski
3 : 2
Ustrem Donchevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4
Volov Shumen
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)