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Devonport vs Kingborough Lions

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Devonport Oval, Devonport
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Tollervey J.
73'
Smith D.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Devonport and Kingborough Lions finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Devonport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Devonport
15%
Draws
32%
Kingborough Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devonport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kingborough Lions come out ahead of Devonport on wins alone.
  • Model gives Devonport a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Devonport Clean Sheet 16%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Devonport Kingborough Lions
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 19 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 3.1 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Kingborough Lions
2:1
Jun 28, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Devonport
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Kingborough Lions
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Devonport
3:2
May 31, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Kingborough Lions
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Tollervey J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Kingborough Lions Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Devonport 84 / 100
Kingborough Lions 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Devonport Kingborough Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devonport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Devonport found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Devonport has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kingborough Lions has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Devonport VS Kingborough Lions
3 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Devonport

(Home)
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
25 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 6
Devonport
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Kingborough Lions

(Away)
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
22 Aug
Kingborough Lions
5 : 0
Launceston City
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1
Clarence Zebras
01 Aug
Kingborough Lions
2 : 0
Launceston United
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