Sport Picks
Devonport vs Kingborough Lions
Australia
NPL Tasmania Devonport Oval, Devonport 
Match Events
27'
27'
Tollervey J.
45'
45'
Luttmer E.
Own Goal
69'
69'
Luttmer E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devonport
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kingborough Lions carry the better recent record into this one.
- Devonport are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Kingborough Lions arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Devonport, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Devonport Clean Sheet 16%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Devonport | Kingborough Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 19 | 21 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.97 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Kingborough Lions
2:1
Jun 28, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Devonport
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Kingborough Lions
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Devonport
3:2
May 31, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Kingborough Lions
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Devonport Compare
Top Goalscorer Tollervey J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Kingborough Lions Compare
Top Goalscorer Luttmer E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Devonport 84 / 100
Kingborough Lions 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Devonport Kingborough Lions
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Devonport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Devonport's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Kingborough Lions conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Devonport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Devonport VS Kingborough Lions
3 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Devonport
(Home) 05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1 Devonport
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3 Devonport
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1 Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0 Launceston City
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2 Devonport
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1 Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0 Launceston City
18 Jul
Devonport
1 : 3 South Hobart
11 Jul
Devonport
2 : 0 South East United
04 Jul
Devonport
4 : 1 Riverside Olympic
Page 1 of 3
Kingborough Lions
(Away) 29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2 Kingborough Lions
22 Aug
Kingborough Lions
5 : 0 Launceston City
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1 Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1 Clarence Zebras
01 Aug
Kingborough Lions
2 : 0 Launceston United
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2 Kingborough Lions
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1 Kingborough Lions
18 Jul
Launceston City
1 : 3 Kingborough Lions
10 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
0 : 2 Kingborough Lions
04 Jul
Ulverstone
2 : 1 Kingborough Lions
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
South Hobart -
TBD -
Devonport 2
Kingborough Lions 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
South Hobart -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingborough Lions -
TBD -
Launceston City 2
Clarence Zebras 1
Quarter-finals
South Hobart 0
Devonport 3
TBD -
TBD -
South Hobart -
TBD -
Kingborough Lions 5
Launceston City 0
Semi-finals
Devonport -
TBD -
South Hobart 4
Kingborough Lions 2
Final
Devonport 1
South Hobart 5
