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Devonport vs Launceston United

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Devonport Oval, Devonport
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Layweh C.
90' Event
Tollervey J.

AI Match Summary

Devonport in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Devonport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Devonport
15%
Draws
0%
Launceston United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devonport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Devonport have won more games recently than Launceston United.
  • Win probability leans Devonport's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Devonport here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Devonport Clean Sheet 68%
Launceston United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Devonport Launceston United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 3.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.37 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Devonport
0:6
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Launceston United
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Launceston United
9:2
Jun 28, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs Launceston United
5:2
Apr 26, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Devonport
1:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Layweh C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tollervey J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Launceston United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Devonport 95 / 100
Launceston United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Devonport Launceston United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devonport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Devonport scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Launceston United conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Launceston United lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Devonport VS Launceston United
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Devonport

(Home)
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
25 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 6
Devonport
18 Jul
Devonport
1 : 3
South Hobart
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Launceston United

(Away)
08 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 1
Launceston United
01 Aug
Kingborough Lions
2 : 0
Launceston United
25 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 6
Devonport
22 Jul
Launceston City
4 : 2
Launceston United
19 Jul
South East United
4 : 1
Launceston United
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