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Devonport vs South East United

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Devonport Oval, Devonport
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Neutegem L.
24' Event
Neutegem L.

AI Match Summary

Devonport in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Devonport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Devonport
15%
Draws
42%
South East United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Devonport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Devonport have won more games recently than South East United.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Devonport taking it.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Devonport Clean Sheet 68%
South East United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Devonport South East United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 3.03 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Devonport vs South East United
2:0
Apr 19, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South East United vs Devonport
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Devonport Compare

Top Goalscorer Neutegem L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

South East United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Devonport 95 / 100
South East United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Devonport South East United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Devonport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Devonport found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

South East United let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Devonport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Devonport VS South East United
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Devonport

(Home)
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
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South East United

(Away)
08 Aug
Ulverstone
3 : 4
South East United
01 Aug
South East United
3 : 1
Riverside Olympic
19 Jul
South East United
4 : 1
Launceston United
11 Jul
Devonport
2 : 0
South East United
05 Jul
South East United
1 : 0
South Hobart
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