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Dewa United vs PSS Sleman Prediction & H2H Stats

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Indomilk Arena, Tangerang
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Match Events

27'
Lowe D.
27'
Matheus Fornazari
40'
Struick R.

AI Match Summary

Dewa United in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dewa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Dewa United
15%
Draws
16%
PSS Sleman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dewa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Dewa United have won more games recently than PSS Sleman.
  • Win probability leans Dewa United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dewa United here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dewa United Clean Sheet 20%
PSS Sleman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dewa United PSS Sleman
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.47 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super League
Dewa United vs PSS Sleman
2:1
Apr 17, 2025 Super League
PSS Sleman vs Dewa United
0:1
Dec 3, 2024 Super League
Dewa United vs PSS Sleman
2:1
Apr 20, 2024 Super League
PSS Sleman vs Dewa United
2:3
Oct 6, 2023 Super League
Dewa United vs PSS Sleman
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dewa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Marukawa T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iury C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

PSS Sleman Compare

Top Goalscorer Nduwarugira C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dewa United 85 / 100
PSS Sleman 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dewa United PSS Sleman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dewa United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Dewa United remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dewa United scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

PSS Sleman has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dewa United VS PSS Sleman
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dewa United

(Home)
20 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
16 Sept
Borneo
1 : 3
Dewa United
11 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 2
FC Bhayangkara
05 Sept
Persik Kediri
0 : 1
Dewa United
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
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PSS Sleman

(Away)
20 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3
Madura United
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3
Garudayaksa
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0
PSIS Semarang
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Madura United 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Persija Jakarta 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
4 Borneo 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
5 Persib Bandung 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Bali United 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
7 Arema FC 3 1 2 0 8:4 5
8 FC Bhayangkara 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
9 Persita 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
10 Persebaya 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
11 Persik Kediri 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
12 PSM Makassar 3 0 2 1 6:8 2
13 Garudayaksa 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
14 PSIM Yogyakarta 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 PSS Sleman 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
16 Persijap Jepara 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
17 Java United 3 0 1 2 3:5 -1
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 3 0 0 3 1:10 -2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)