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Dewa United vs Semen Padang

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Indomilk Arena, Tangerang
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Match Events

32' Event
Sadaoui N.
Assist: Johnathan
42'
Kristiano A.
46'
Sub
Kristiano A. In: Afandi Z.
Out: Kristiano A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Dewa United and Semen Padang finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dewa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Dewa United
15%
Draws
16%
Semen Padang
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dewa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Semen Padang haven't matched Dewa United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dewa United a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dewa United here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Dewa United Clean Sheet 68%
Semen Padang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dewa United Semen Padang
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.57 0.64
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
Dewa United vs Semen Padang
1:0
Aug 15, 2025 Super League
Semen Padang vs Dewa United
2:0
Mar 5, 2025 Super League
Dewa United vs Semen Padang
6:0
Oct 25, 2024 Super League
Semen Padang vs Dewa United
1:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dewa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadaoui N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Semen Padang Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dewa United 95 / 100
Semen Padang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dewa United Semen Padang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dewa United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dewa United remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dewa United's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Semen Padang let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dewa United VS Semen Padang
1.88 Goals Scored 0.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dewa United

(Home)
20 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
16 Sept
Borneo
1 : 3
Dewa United
11 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 2
FC Bhayangkara
05 Sept
Persik Kediri
0 : 1
Dewa United
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

Semen Padang

(Away)
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1
Semen Padang
23 May
Persija Jakarta
3 : 0
Semen Padang
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7
Persebaya
08 May
Semen Padang
0 : 3
Persik Kediri
03 May
Dewa United
1 : 0
Semen Padang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)