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Dewa United vs Semen Padang

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Indomilk Arena, Tangerang
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Sadaoui N.
Assist: Johnathan
42'
Kristiano A.
46'
Sub
Kristiano A. In: Afandi Z.
Out: Kristiano A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Dewa United and Semen Padang finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dewa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dewa United
6%
Draws
4%
Semen Padang
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dewa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Semen Padang haven't matched Dewa United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dewa United a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dewa United here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Dewa United Clean Sheet 68%
Semen Padang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dewa United Semen Padang
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
Dewa United vs Semen Padang
1:0
Aug 15, 2025 Super League
Semen Padang vs Dewa United
2:0
Mar 5, 2025 Super League
Dewa United vs Semen Padang
6:0
Oct 25, 2024 Super League
Semen Padang vs Dewa United
1:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dewa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadaoui N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Semen Padang Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dewa United 95 / 100
Semen Padang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dewa United Semen Padang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Semen Padang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Semen Padang's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Dewa United scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Dewa United VS Semen Padang
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dewa United

(Home)
22 May
Dewa United
0 : 1
Bali United
16 May
Persis Solo
1 : 0
Dewa United
08 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5
Dewa United
03 May
Dewa United
1 : 0
Semen Padang
29 Apr
Dewa United
1 : 0
Persijap Jepara
Page 1 of 7

Semen Padang

(Away)
23 May
Persija Jakarta
3 : 0
Semen Padang
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7
Persebaya
08 May
Semen Padang
0 : 3
Persik Kediri
03 May
Dewa United
1 : 0
Semen Padang
29 Apr
Semen Padang
0 : 1
Madura United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518
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