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Dewa United vs Shan United

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 Indomilk Arena, Tangerang
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Match Events

10' Event
Vikri E.
Assist: Lilipaly S.
20' Event
Jaja
Assist: Vikri E.
36'
Sub
Tun Myo Ku In: Bo Hlaing Bo
Out: Tun Myo Ku

AI Match Summary

The AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Dewa United and Shan United finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dewa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Dewa United
15%
Draws
50%
Shan United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Shan United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dewa United a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Dewa United Clean Sheet 20%
Shan United Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dewa United Shan United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.47 2.48
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 AFC Challenge League
Dewa United vs Shan United
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dewa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Vikri E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaja
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Souza
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dewa United 40 / 100
Shan United 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dewa United Shan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dewa United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Dewa United's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dewa United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Shan United let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dewa United VS Shan United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Dewa United

(Home)
05 Sept
Persik Kediri
0 : 1
Dewa United
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
22 May
Dewa United
0 : 1
Bali United
16 May
Persis Solo
1 : 0
Dewa United
08 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5
Dewa United
Page 1 of 6

Shan United

(Away)
05 Sept
Myawady
0 : 4
Shan United
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
08 Mar
Shan United
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Shabab 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Altyn Asyr 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Abdysh-Ata Kant 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
4 Paro 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Kuwait 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Al Ansar 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Al Seeb 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Bashundara Kings 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Muras United 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
2 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Safa 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Regar-TadAZ 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svay Rieng 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Manila Digger 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Falcons 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Ezra 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Phnom Penh Crown 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 Taiwan Steel 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Shan United 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)