Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A4 2017 game between Diadema and Elosport finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diadema.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Diadema
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Diadema carry the better recent record into this one.
- 32% — that's where the model lands on Elosport taking it.
- Regular Paulista A4 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Diadema Clean Sheet 20%
Elosport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Diadema | Elosport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 2.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 9, 2017 Paulista A4
Diadema vs Elosport
2:1
May 21, 2017 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Diadema
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Diadema 24 / 100
Elosport 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Diadema Elosport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Elosport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Diadema scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Elosport conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Elosport's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Elosport
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Diadema
(Home) 09 Jul
Diadema
2 : 1 Elosport
02 Jul
AA Itarare
7 : 0 Diadema
23 Jun
Diadema
2 : 5 Guarulhos
16 Jun
Diadema
1 : 2 SKA Brasil
10 Jun
Primavera EC
2 : 0 Diadema
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09 Jul
Diadema
2 : 1 Elosport
23 Jun
Diadema
2 : 5 Guarulhos
16 Jun
Diadema
1 : 2 SKA Brasil
02 Jun
Diadema
0 : 3 EC Sao Bernardo
14 May
Diadema
0 : 1 AA Itarare
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Elosport
(Away) 14 Nov
Elosport
0 : 2 Independente SP
11 Nov
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2 Elosport
08 Nov
Elosport
1 : 2 Uniao Barbarense
04 Nov
AA Itarare
4 : 2 Elosport
28 Oct
Independente SP
2 : 2 Elosport
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11 Nov
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2 Elosport
04 Nov
AA Itarare
4 : 2 Elosport
28 Oct
Independente SP
2 : 2 Elosport
21 Oct
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 1 Elosport
30 Jun
AA Itarare
5 : 0 Elosport
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vocem | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 16:4 | 29 |
| 2 | Osvaldo Cruz | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 19 |
| 4 | America SP | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Gremio Prudente | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:12 | 16 |
| 6 | Presidente Prudente | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:19 | 10 |
| 7 | Assisense | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7:34 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XV de Jau | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 29:14 | 25 |
| 2 | Brasilis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:12 | 19 |
| 3 | Francana | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Taquaritinga | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 5 | Inter de Bebedouro | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:15 | 15 |
| 6 | Amparo SP | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:22 | 10 |
| 7 | Jaguariuna | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:28 | 9 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Primavera EC | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | EC Sao Bernardo | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 26:13 | 29 |
| 3 | SKA Brasil | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22:17 | 24 |
| 4 | AA Itarare | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Elosport | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 21:16 | 17 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:25 | 16 |
| 7 | Diadema | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12:38 | 8 |
| 8 | Barcelona SP | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15:35 | 8 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Manthiqueira | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 24:16 | 25 |
| 3 | Mauaense | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 4 | Uniao Mogi | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 5 | Atletico Real Cubatense | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:20 | 12 |
| 6 | Jabaquara | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 7 | Atletico Mogi | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6:30 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)
