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Diambars de Saly vs Mbour

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Sylla S.
52' Event
Diouf A.
62' Event
Ndiaye Sarr M. M.

AI Match Summary

Mbour in this Ligue 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mbour.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Diambars de Saly
20%
Draws
36%
Mbour
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Diambars de Saly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Diambars de Saly haven't matched Mbour's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mbour's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Diambars de Saly Clean Sheet 22%
Mbour Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diambars de Saly Mbour
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 6
Draws 9 19
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.9 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Ligue 1
Diambars de Saly vs Mbour
0:3
Dec 10, 2023 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Diambars de Saly
1:1
May 6, 2023 Ligue 1
Diambars de Saly vs Mbour
1:0
Nov 27, 2022 Ligue 1
Mbour vs Diambars de Saly
0:2
Jun 27, 2021 Ligue 1
Diambars de Saly vs Mbour
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diambars de Saly Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mbour Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diouf A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diambars de Saly 21 / 100
Mbour 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diambars de Saly Mbour

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mbour Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diambars de Saly scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Mbour has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Diambars de Saly has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Diambars de Saly VS Mbour
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Diambars de Saly

(Home)
12 Sept
Diambars de Saly
1 : 0
Zarzis
04 Sept
Zarzis
3 : 1
Diambars de Saly
08 Jun
Diambars de Saly
0 : 2
Generation Foot
26 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
7 : 2
Diambars de Saly
18 May
Diambars de Saly
2 : 1
Guediawaye
Page 1 of 6

Mbour

(Away)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
13 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 2
Mbour
10 May
Mbour
1 : 1
Wally Daan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 26 14 8 4 31:18 50
2 ASC Jaraaf 26 11 13 2 30:12 46
3 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 26 10 11 5 29:15 41
4 Guediawaye 26 9 13 4 27:23 40
5 Pikine 26 9 11 6 20:14 38
6 Sonacos 26 7 12 7 16:16 33
7 US Goree 26 7 11 8 15:17 32
8 Jamono Fatick 26 8 7 11 25:25 31
9 Linguere 26 6 13 7 13:17 31
10 Ouakam 26 7 9 10 22:25 30
11 Generation Foot 26 6 11 9 15:24 29
12 Casa 26 7 6 13 18:29 27
13 Mbour 26 3 14 9 17:25 23
14 Diambars de Saly 26 4 9 13 25:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)