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Diamond Harbour vs NEROCA

India India

I-League 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Khosla G.
45' Event
Meitei C.

AI Match Summary

The I-League 2 2024/2025 game between Diamond Harbour and NEROCA finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Diamond Harbour
30%
Draws
29%
NEROCA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Diamond Harbour

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Diamond Harbour come out ahead of NEROCA on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Diamond Harbour's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular I-League 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Diamond Harbour Clean Sheet 16%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diamond Harbour NEROCA
Matches Played 43 29
Wins 28 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.12 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs Diamond Harbour
0:2
Feb 16, 2025 I-League 2
Diamond Harbour vs NEROCA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diamond Harbour Compare

Top Goalscorer Khosla G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

NEROCA Compare

Top Goalscorer Meitei C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diamond Harbour 84 / 100
NEROCA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diamond Harbour NEROCA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diamond Harbour Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diamond Harbour found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (43 games).

NEROCA let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Diamond Harbour went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diamond Harbour VS NEROCA
3 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Diamond Harbour

(Home)
23 May
Diamond Harbour
0 : 3
Lajong
17 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Diamond Harbour
08 May
Diamond Harbour
5 : 2
Rajasthan United
03 May
Diamond Harbour
1 : 2
Sreenidi Deccan
25 Apr
Chanmari
0 : 2
Diamond Harbour
Page 1 of 9

NEROCA

(Away)
12 Aug
NEROCA
3 : 1
Raengdai
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
28 Jul
TRAU FC
0 : 0
NEROCA
14 May
NEROCA
1 : 3
Sudeva Delhi
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2
Karbi Anglong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diamond Harbour 16 11 5 0 28:10 38
2 Chanmari 16 10 3 3 36:10 33
3 SC Goa 16 7 5 4 18:12 26
4 Bengaluru United 16 6 5 5 21:11 23
5 SAT Tirur 16 6 4 6 21:23 22
6 United SC 16 5 6 5 15:17 21
7 NEROCA 16 5 2 9 17:27 17
8 TRAU FC 16 3 3 10 14:30 12
9 KLASA 16 2 1 13 8:38 7
Promotion - I-League (Main)