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Diamond Stars vs Luawa

Sierra Leone Sierra Leone

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Diamond Stars in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Diamond Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Diamond Stars
15%
Draws
17%
Luawa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diamond Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Luawa haven't matched Diamond Stars's recent run of results.
  • Diamond Stars are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Diamond Stars have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Diamond Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Luawa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diamond Stars Luawa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Premier League
Diamond Stars vs Luawa
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Luawa vs Diamond Stars
1:2
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Luawa vs Diamond Stars
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Premier League
Diamond Stars vs Luawa
2:0
Jun 29, 2024 Premier League
Diamond Stars vs Luawa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diamond Stars 95 / 100
Luawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diamond Stars Luawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diamond Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luawa let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Diamond Stars has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Luawa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diamond Stars VS Luawa
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Diamond Stars

(Home)
18 Jul
Bai Bureh Warriors
2 : 3
Diamond Stars
06 Jul
Diamond Stars
4 : 0
Kallon
28 Jun
Bo Rangers
1 : 0
Diamond Stars
24 Jun
East End Lions
3 : 4
Diamond Stars
13 Jun
Diamond Stars
1 : 0
Bhantal
Page 1 of 6

Luawa

(Away)
16 Jul
Wilberforce Strikers
1 : 0
Luawa
08 Jul
Luawa
0 : 4
Star Sport Academy
25 Jun
Old Edwardians
4 : 0
Luawa
19 Jun
Kallon
1 : 4
Luawa
14 Jun
Luawa
0 : 1
Bai Bureh Warriors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bo Rangers 34 17 13 4 39:20 64
2 Star Sport Academy 34 16 13 5 45:22 61
3 Bai Bureh Warriors 34 14 15 5 40:20 57
4 East End Lions 34 13 14 7 52:36 53
5 Old Edwardians 34 13 14 7 39:23 53
6 Ports Authority 34 12 13 9 35:30 49
7 Kamboi Eagles 34 13 6 15 34:38 45
8 Bhantal 34 9 16 9 40:29 43
9 Wilberforce Strikers 34 9 16 9 27:30 43
10 Kallon 34 12 7 15 38:52 43
11 Diamond Stars 34 11 9 14 34:39 42
12 Bullom Stars 34 12 6 16 30:44 42
13 Mighty Blackpool 34 10 11 13 28:37 41
14 Wusum Stars 34 11 8 15 24:36 41
15 Abacha City 34 9 12 13 31:38 39
16 SLIFA 34 9 11 14 36:41 38
17 Luawa 34 8 9 17 22:42 33
18 Freetown City (FCFC) 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
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