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Didcot vs Swindon Supermarine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Tumelty J.
90' Event
Bower M.
90' Event
Spalding H.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 game between Didcot and Swindon Supermarine finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swindon Supermarine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Didcot
15%
Draws
26%
Swindon Supermarine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Didcot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Didcot haven't matched Swindon Supermarine's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Didcot taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Swindon Supermarine have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Didcot Clean Sheet 18%
Swindon Supermarine Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Didcot Swindon Supermarine
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Didcot vs Swindon Supermarine
0:2
Dec 30, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Swindon Supermarine vs Didcot
4:1
Apr 9, 2011 Southern Premier League
Swindon Supermarine vs Didcot
2:0
Oct 19, 2010 Southern Premier League
Didcot vs Swindon Supermarine
1:4
Apr 5, 2010 Southern Premier League
Didcot vs Swindon Supermarine
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Didcot Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Swindon Supermarine Compare

Top Goalscorer Bower M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spalding H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Didcot 85 / 100
Swindon Supermarine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Didcot Swindon Supermarine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Didcot Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Didcot scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Swindon Supermarine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Didcot remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Didcot VS Swindon Supermarine
1.67 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Didcot

(Home)
26 Sept
Didcot
1 : 0
Bracknell Town
12 Sept
AFC Stoneham
0 : 4
Didcot
29 Aug
Didcot
2 : 1
Winchester City
06 Sept
Hartpury University
2 : 1
Didcot
02 Sept
Poole Town
2 : 1
Didcot
Page 1 of 7

Swindon Supermarine

(Away)
19 Sept
Swindon Supermarine
1 : 3
Weymouth
07 Sept
Swindon Supermarine
3 : 1
Winslow United
05 Sept
Winslow United
0 : 0
Swindon Supermarine
29 Aug
Swindon Supermarine
0 : 1
Slimbridge
04 Jul
Swindon
4 : 0
Swindon Supermarine
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesham 42 28 6 8 83:46 90
2 AFC Totton 42 23 12 7 89:45 81
3 Salisbury 42 23 10 9 70:46 79
4 Gosport Borough 42 23 9 10 75:43 78
5 Bracknell Town 42 21 5 16 84:71 68
6 Merthyr Town 42 20 7 15 85:59 67
7 Walton & Hersham 42 18 11 13 78:67 65
8 Hungerford 42 18 10 14 77:70 64
9 Dorchester 42 17 9 16 66:77 60
10 Hendon 42 14 16 12 70:65 58
11 Winchester City 42 15 12 15 63:67 57
12 Basingstoke 42 15 8 19 69:83 53
13 Poole Town 42 16 4 22 70:76 52
14 Tiverton 42 14 10 18 64:74 52
15 Sholing 42 13 10 19 52:63 49
16 Swindon Supermarine 42 13 10 19 73:92 49
17 Hanwell Town 42 12 12 18 64:71 48
18 Plymouth Parkway 42 12 12 18 60:68 48
19 Beaconsfield Town 42 13 9 20 63:78 48
20 Hayes & Yeading 42 11 13 18 59:67 46
21 Harrow Borough 42 10 9 23 60:97 39
22 Didcot 42 6 10 26 45:94 28
Promotion - National League South 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2023/2024 (Play Offs)