Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Diegem vs K. Lyra-Lierse

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
De Koker J.
87' Event
Sula D.

AI Match Summary

Diegem in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Diegem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Diegem
35%
Draws
42%
K. Lyra-Lierse
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: K. Lyra-Lierse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to K. Lyra-Lierse lately — more wins on the board than Diegem.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Diegem here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Diegem Clean Sheet 20%
K. Lyra-Lierse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diegem K. Lyra-Lierse
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.82 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Diegem vs K. Lyra-Lierse
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Diegem
0:1
Jan 13, 2024 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Diegem
5:0
Oct 1, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Diegem vs K. Lyra-Lierse
3:2
May 7, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
K. Lyra-Lierse vs Diegem
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diegem Compare

Top Goalscorer De Koker J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sula D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

K. Lyra-Lierse Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diegem 36 / 100
K. Lyra-Lierse 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diegem K. Lyra-Lierse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick K. Lyra-Lierse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Diegem scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: K. Lyra-Lierse conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Diegem stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diegem VS K. Lyra-Lierse
2.5 Goals Scored 2
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Diegem

(Home)
20 Sept
Diegem
2 : 2
Bocholter
13 Sept
St. Truiden 2
6 : 2
Diegem
06 Sept
Diegem
5 : 2
Eendracht Termien
30 Aug
KRC Mechelen
1 : 1
Diegem
30 Jun
Diegem
0 : 7
Royale Union SG
Page 1 of 6

K. Lyra-Lierse

(Away)
19 Sept
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 2
Heist
12 Sept
Hoogstraten
4 : 4
K. Lyra-Lierse
05 Sept
Mandel United
1 : 1
K. Lyra-Lierse
29 Aug
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 3
Thes Sport
26 Apr
K. Lyra-Lierse
4 : 3
Houtvenne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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