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Diegem vs Tienen

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Sula D.
45' Event
Colman J.
70' Event
Boroto P.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Diegem and Tienen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diegem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Diegem
30%
Draws
23%
Tienen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Diegem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tienen come out ahead of Diegem on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Tienen taking it.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Diegem Clean Sheet 10%
Tienen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diegem Tienen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Diegem
5:1
Nov 30, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Diegem vs Tienen
2:1
Aug 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Tienen vs Diegem
1:0
Dec 15, 2019 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Diegem vs Tienen
0:0
Sep 1, 2019 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
Tienen vs Diegem
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diegem Compare

Top Goalscorer Sula D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colman J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Tienen Compare

Top Goalscorer Boroto P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diegem 18 / 100
Tienen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diegem Tienen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diegem's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tienen let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Tienen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diegem VS Tienen
2 Goals Scored 1.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Diegem

(Home)
30 Jun
Diegem
0 : 7
Royale Union SG
26 Apr
Diegem
2 : 3
Belisia Bilzen
19 Apr
Thes Sport
6 : 3
Diegem
12 Apr
SK Roeselare
2 : 2
Diegem
29 Mar
Diegem
5 : 0
Ninove
Page 1 of 6

Tienen

(Away)
07 Aug
Tienen
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
01 Aug
Tienen
1 : 1
OC Charleroi
26 Apr
Tienen
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
19 Apr
Knokke
2 : 0
Tienen
12 Apr
Tienen
1 : 3
Dessel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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