Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Digenis Akritas vs Ermis

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2023/2024 Makario Stadium, Nicosia
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Gougouris A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2023/2024 game between Digenis Akritas and Ermis finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Digenis Akritas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Digenis Akritas
20%
Draws
51%
Ermis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ermis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Digenis Akritas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ermis a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Digenis Akritas Clean Sheet 15%
Ermis Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Digenis Akritas Ermis
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 2
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.44 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 Division 2
Ermis vs Digenis Akritas
0:3
Feb 5, 2024 Division 2
Digenis Akritas vs Ermis
1:0
Sep 30, 2023 Division 2
Digenis Akritas vs Ermis
2:1
Dec 7, 2019 Division 2
Ermis vs Digenis Akritas
4:2
Oct 6, 2019 Division 2
Digenis Akritas vs Ermis
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Digenis Akritas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gougouris A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Ermis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Digenis Akritas 23 / 100
Ermis 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Digenis Akritas Ermis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Digenis Akritas scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Digenis Akritas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Digenis Akritas VS Ermis
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.67
100% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Digenis Akritas

(Home)
19 Sept
Digenis Akritas
0 : 1
Apea Akrotiriou
12 Sept
M.E.A.P. Nisou
0 : 0
Digenis Akritas
25 Apr
Digenis Akritas
1 : 1
AEZ Zakakiou
21 Apr
Ethnikos Latsion
2 : 1
Digenis Akritas
04 Apr
Digenis Akritas
1 : 0
Iraklis Yerolakkou
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Ermis

(Away)
20 Sept
Ermis
1 : 2
PAEEK
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
26 Apr
Ermis
2 : 1
PO Xylotymbou 2006
20 Apr
ENAD
1 : 2
Ermis
14 Apr
Ermis
1 : 2
M.E.A.P. Nisou
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