Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dijon vs Aubagne FC

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Gaston Gérard, Dijon
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Nehari M.
25' Event
Barka Y.
(Penalty)
39'
Sub
Delecroix P. In: Lacroix L.
Out: Delecroix P.

AI Match Summary

Dijon in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dijon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dijon
6%
Draws
4%
Aubagne FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dijon lately — more wins on the board than Aubagne FC.
  • Win probability leans Dijon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dijon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Dijon Clean Sheet 68%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dijon Aubagne FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Aubagne FC
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Dijon
1:1
Feb 28, 2025 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Dijon
1:2
Sep 27, 2024 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Aubagne FC
1:0
Jan 4, 2014 Coupe de France
Aubagne FC vs Dijon
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dijon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Aubagne FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayilla E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dijon 95 / 100
Aubagne FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dijon Aubagne FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dijon scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Aubagne FC has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Dijon has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dijon VS Aubagne FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dijon

(Home)
22 Jul
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 2
Dijon
18 Jul
Dijon
4 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
15 Jul
Dijon
5 : 2
UNFP
11 Jul
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Dijon
15 May
Dijon
3 : 2
Orleans
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Aubagne FC

(Away)
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2
Aubagne FC
15 May
Aubagne FC
3 : 1
Caen
09 May
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
01 May
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Stade Briochin
24 Apr
Rouen
3 : 1
Aubagne FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)