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Dijon vs St Etienne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Gaston Gérard, Dijon
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ballo T.
Assist: Cardona I.
39' Event
Chouchane S.
Assist: Bellon P.
44'
Bellon P.

AI Match Summary

St Etienne in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored St Etienne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dijon
15%
Draws
54%
St Etienne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Dijon haven't matched St Etienne's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Dijon Clean Sheet 10%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dijon St Etienne
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.96 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Ligue 2
Dijon vs St Etienne
2:3
Feb 11, 2023 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Dijon
2:0
Jul 30, 2022 Ligue 2
Dijon vs St Etienne
2:1
May 23, 2021 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Dijon
0:1
Dec 6, 2020 Ligue 1
Dijon vs St Etienne
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Chouchane S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

St Etienne Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballo T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boakye A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dijon 30 / 100
St Etienne 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dijon St Etienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dijon's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Dijon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

St Etienne let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dijon VS St Etienne
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dijon

(Home)
30 Oct
Grenoble
1 : 3
Dijon
24 Oct
Dijon
1 : 2
Rodez
16 Oct
Reims
4 : 2
Dijon
12 Oct
Dijon
4 : 2
Metz
02 Oct
Dijon
2 : 2
Troyes
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St Etienne

(Away)
31 Oct
Guingamp
3 : 0
St Etienne
24 Oct
St Etienne
1 : 0
Nantes
17 Oct
Red Star
0 : 1
St Etienne
10 Oct
St Etienne
2 : 0
Rodez
02 Oct
St Etienne
5 : 1
Sion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Nancy 12 8 1 3 17:9 25
3 Montpellier 12 7 3 2 18:9 24
4 Reims 12 5 6 1 24:15 21
5 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
6 Dijon 12 5 3 4 21:19 18
7 Metz 12 4 5 3 20:19 17
8 Red Star 12 5 2 5 14:17 17
9 Annecy 12 5 1 6 14:18 16
10 Dunkerque 12 4 3 5 17:17 15
11 Guingamp 12 4 2 6 16:18 14
12 Boulogne 12 2 7 3 10:8 13
13 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
14 Sochaux 12 2 5 5 8:15 11
15 Grenoble 12 3 2 7 13:22 11
16 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
17 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
18 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)