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Dijon W vs Nantes W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Gaston Gérard, Dijon
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Eloissaint R.
45'
Grzybowska G.
46'
Sub
Grzybowska G. In: Wang Yanwen
Out: Grzybowska G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Dijon W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Dijon W
20%
Draws
15%
Nantes W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dijon W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dijon W come out ahead of Nantes W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Dijon W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dijon W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dijon W Clean Sheet 19%
Nantes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dijon W Nantes W
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Dijon W vs Nantes W
1:1
Feb 4, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Dijon W vs Nantes W
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs Dijon W
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Nantes W vs Dijon W
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Dijon W vs Nantes W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dijon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Siren E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carage N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Nantes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Eloissaint R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dijon W 31 / 100
Nantes W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dijon W Nantes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dijon W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dijon W scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Nantes W let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Dijon W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dijon W VS Nantes W
0.8 Goals Scored 1.13
1.4 Goals Conceded 2
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dijon W

(Home)
06 May
Marseille W
0 : 1
Dijon W
25 Apr
Dijon W
1 : 2
Paris FC W
22 Apr
OL Lyonnes W
4 : 0
Dijon W
28 Mar
Dijon W
2 : 1
Le Havre W
22 Mar
Lens W
0 : 1
Dijon W
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Nantes W

(Away)
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
18 Sept
PSG W
1 : 0
Nantes W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
06 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 0
Nantes W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Dijon W 2
Nantes W 1
OL Lyonnes W 4
Marseille W 0
PSG W 3
Thonon Evian W 0
Paris FC W 1
Lens W 0
Semi-finals
Dijon W 0
OL Lyonnes W 4
PSG W 3
Paris FC W 0
Final
OL Lyonnes W 1
PSG W 0