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Dimensao Capela vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Afonso

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano 2 2025 game between Dimensao Capela and Cruzeiro Arapiraca finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruzeiro Arapiraca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Dimensao Capela
30%
Draws
58%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Dimensao Capela's 1.24 goals per match outpaces what Cruzeiro Arapiraca have produced (1.14).
  • Model gives Cruzeiro Arapiraca a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Alagoano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Dimensao Capela Clean Sheet 12%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dimensao Capela Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Dimensao Capela
3:3
Oct 6, 2025 Alagoano 2
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Dimensao Capela
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Alagoano 2
Dimensao Capela vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Alagoano 2
Dimensao Capela vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dimensao Capela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Cruzeiro Arapiraca Compare

Top Goalscorer Afonso
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dimensao Capela 27 / 100
Cruzeiro Arapiraca 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dimensao Capela Cruzeiro Arapiraca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro Arapiraca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Dimensao Capela found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Cruzeiro Arapiraca let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Dimensao Capela stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dimensao Capela VS Cruzeiro Arapiraca
0.71 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dimensao Capela

(Home)
10 Mar
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3 : 3
Dimensao Capela
05 Mar
CSA
4 : 0
Dimensao Capela
11 Feb
Dimensao Capela
0 : 1
CRB
04 Feb
Dimensao Capela
0 : 2
Coruripe
06 Oct
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3 : 1
Dimensao Capela
Page 1 of 6

Cruzeiro Arapiraca

(Away)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
10 Mar
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3 : 3
Dimensao Capela
07 Feb
CSA
2 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
04 Feb
CSA
3 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
31 Jan
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Coruripe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany Alagoano 7 7 0 0 16:2 21
2 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 5 1 1 11:4 16
3 Dimensao Capela 7 4 0 3 12:7 12
4 Agrimaq 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
5 Zumbi 7 3 1 3 10:6 10
6 Alianca 7 2 0 5 10:12 6
7 Miguelense 7 2 0 5 8:13 6
8 Jacioba 7 0 0 7 3:28 0
Promotion - Alagoano 2 2025 (Play Offs)