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Dimensao Capela vs Guarany Alagoano

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lessa D.
(Penalty)
11' Event
Yuri P.
Own Goal
57' Event
Marques do Nascimento Ferreira C.

AI Match Summary

Guarany Alagoano in this Copa Alagoas 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarany Alagoano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Dimensao Capela
6%
Draws
90%
Guarany Alagoano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarany Alagoano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guarany Alagoano lately — more wins on the board than Dimensao Capela.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Guarany Alagoano taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Guarany Alagoano have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Dimensao Capela Clean Sheet 15%
Guarany Alagoano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dimensao Capela Guarany Alagoano
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 Alagoano 2
Guarany Alagoano vs Dimensao Capela
3:0
Mar 6, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Dimensao Capela vs Guarany Alagoano
1:3
Oct 10, 2024 Alagoano 2
Dimensao Capela vs Guarany Alagoano
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dimensao Capela Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan Bruno
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Guarany Alagoano Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques do Nascimento Ferreira C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dimensao Capela 10 / 100
Guarany Alagoano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dimensao Capela Guarany Alagoano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Dimensao Capela found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Guarany Alagoano has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Dimensao Capela has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dimensao Capela VS Guarany Alagoano
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Penedense641119:313
2Coruripe64027:312
3CRB632113:211
4Zumbi632112:311
5Murici631212:710
6Dimensao Capela62046:136
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Clube Sociedade Esportiva660011:118
2CSA62315:59
3ASA62138:57
4Guarany Alagoano61236:115
5Igaci60060:180
6Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense60061:290