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Dimitrovgrad vs Lok. Plovdiv II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dimitrovgrad in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dimitrovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dimitrovgrad
20%
Draws
40%
Lok. Plovdiv II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dimitrovgrad lately — more wins on the board than Lok. Plovdiv II.
  • Win probability leans Dimitrovgrad's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 12%
Lok. Plovdiv II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dimitrovgrad Lok. Plovdiv II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.37 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Lok. Plovdiv II
3:1
Apr 9, 2026 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Lok. Plovdiv II
4:3
Oct 1, 2025 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Dimitrovgrad
4:1
Mar 1, 2025 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Lok. Plovdiv II
2:0
Aug 18, 2024 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Dimitrovgrad
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dimitrovgrad 56 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dimitrovgrad Lok. Plovdiv II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dimitrovgrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Plovdiv II let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Dimitrovgrad scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Lok. Plovdiv II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dimitrovgrad VS Lok. Plovdiv II
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dimitrovgrad

(Home)
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
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Lok. Plovdiv II

(Away)
27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5
Maritsa Milevo
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
5 : 3
Lok. Plovdiv II
12 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 2
Botev II
29 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 0
Atletik Kuklen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
3 Maritsa Milevo 8 6 0 2 17:9 18
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Sozopol 8 4 1 3 17:13 13
7 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
8 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
9 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
10 Rozova Dolina 8 2 5 1 11:10 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 8 2 0 6 7:19 6
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)