Sport Picks
Dimitrovgrad vs Maritsa Plovdiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dimitrovgrad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Maritsa Plovdiv have won more games recently than Dimitrovgrad.
- Dimitrovgrad are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Maritsa Plovdiv have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 11%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dimitrovgrad | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Maritsa Plovdiv
0:0
Feb 28, 2026 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Maritsa Plovdiv
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Dimitrovgrad
4:1
Feb 22, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Dimitrovgrad
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Maritsa Plovdiv
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dimitrovgrad 56 / 100
Maritsa Plovdiv 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dimitrovgrad Maritsa Plovdiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dimitrovgrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dimitrovgrad's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Maritsa Plovdiv conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Dimitrovgrad stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dimitrovgrad VS Maritsa Plovdiv
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Dimitrovgrad
(Home) 03 Oct
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2 Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3 OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1 Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3 OFC Haskovo
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
22 Aug
Dimitrovgrad
3 : 1 Lok. Plovdiv II
08 Aug
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 1 Maritsa Milevo
Page 1 of 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
(Away) 03 Oct
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2 Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1 Gigant Saedinenie
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
15 Aug
Yambol 1915
3 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
23 May
Spartak Plovdiv
3 : 1 Maritsa Plovdiv
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krumovgrad | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Maritsa Milevo | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 4 | OFC Haskovo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Gigant Saedinenie | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Neftochimic Burgas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Rozova Dolina | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Botev II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:22 | 7 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 5 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 18 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:17 | 2 |
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)
