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Din. Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Dinamo, Minsk
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Potapenko A.
13' Event
Martynov T.
Assist: Kirilenko K.
23'
Krasnov N.

AI Match Summary

Din. Minsk in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Din. Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Din. Minsk
35%
Draws
19%
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Din. Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Din. Minsk have won more games recently than Dnepr Mogilev.
  • Win probability leans Din. Minsk's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Din. Minsk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Din. Minsk Clean Sheet 68%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Minsk Dnepr Mogilev
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 5 11
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Din. Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
3:1
Sep 16, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Din. Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Din. Minsk
0:2
Jan 25, 2024 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Din. Minsk
0:1
Mar 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Din. Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Din. Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Sokolovskiy A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molchan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Top Goalscorer Martynov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Minsk 86 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Minsk Dnepr Mogilev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Minsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dnepr Mogilev has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Din. Minsk scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Din. Minsk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Din. Minsk VS Dnepr Mogilev
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Minsk

(Home)
19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
13 Sept
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
FK Baranovici
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Dnepr Mogilev

(Away)
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)