Sport Picks
Din. Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
Belarus
Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Dinamo, Minsk 
Match Events
56'
56'
Gromyko V.
57'
57'
Sub
Alykulov G. In: Vardanyan K.
Out: Alykulov G.
60'
60'
Sub
Diabate B. In: Nicholson S.
Out: Diabate B.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Din. Minsk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ML Vitebsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Din. Minsk haven't matched ML Vitebsk's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- ML Vitebsk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor ML Vitebsk, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Din. Minsk Clean Sheet 25%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Din. Minsk | ML Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Din. Minsk
0:0
Jul 26, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Din. Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
0:0
May 3, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Din. Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
2:3
Apr 29, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Din. Minsk vs ML Vitebsk
1:0
Apr 15, 2026 Belarusian Cup
ML Vitebsk vs Din. Minsk
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Din. Minsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Vardanyan K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
ML Vitebsk Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Din. Minsk 37 / 100
ML Vitebsk 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Din. Minsk ML Vitebsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ML Vitebsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Din. Minsk found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
ML Vitebsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Din. Minsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Din. Minsk VS ML Vitebsk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Din. Minsk
(Home) 19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0 BATE
13 Sept
Din. Minsk
0 : 1 Dynamo Brest
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0 Din. Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1 Naftan
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1 FK Baranovici
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0 BATE
13 Sept
Din. Minsk
0 : 1 Dynamo Brest
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1 Naftan
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1 FK Baranovici
20 Aug
Din. Minsk
4 : 0 Zhodino
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ML Vitebsk
(Away) 18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0 Din. Minsk
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1 Belshina
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3 ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3 ML Vitebsk
06 Aug
Borac Banja Luka
1 : 0 ML Vitebsk
30 Jul
Sutjeska
1 : 2 ML Vitebsk
15 Jul
Univ. Craiova
1 : 0 ML Vitebsk
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Stanles Pinsk 0
Volna Pinsk 3
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 2
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Polotsk 0
FK Baranovici 5
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Svisloch 1
FC Slonim 4
TBD -
Neman -
Gazovik Vitebsk 0
Ostrovets 6
TBD -
Slutsk -
FK Miory 0
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Mozyrskiy NPZ 0
Lokomotiv Gomel 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Dnepr Mogilev -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Krechet 0
Osipovichi 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Technolog Mogilev 0
DMedia 6
TBD -
FC Gomel -
FK Inform 0
FK Lida 6
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Belshina -
TBD -
TBD -
Molodechno -
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
Smorgon -
Neman Mosty 0
BumProm Gomel 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
Bobovnya 1
Krumkachy 2
TBD -
Naftan -
Agro Pelishche 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 2
TBD -
BATE -
1/16-finals
Volna Pinsk 2
FC Minsk 3
Orsha 1
Dynamo Brest 8
FK Baranovici 1
ML Vitebsk 2
FC Slonim 1
Neman 0
Ostrovets 0
Slutsk 3
Niva Dolbizno 0
Isloch Minsk 4
Lokomotiv Gomel 1
Din. Minsk 2
Dnepr Mogilev 0
Vitebsk 1
Osipovichi 1
Slavia Mozyr 5
DMedia 0
FC Gomel 2
FK Lida 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Belshina 0
Molodechno 3
Uni X Labs 0
Smorgon 2
BumProm Gomel 0
Zhodino 2
Krumkachy 1
Naftan 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
BATE 1
1/8-finals
FC Minsk 2
Dynamo Brest 3
ML Vitebsk 8
FC Slonim 1
Slutsk 1
Isloch Minsk 2
Din. Minsk 2
Vitebsk 1
Slavia Mozyr 1
FC Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Molodechno 0
Smorgon 0
Zhodino 4
Naftan 3
BATE 4
Quarter-finals
Dynamo Brest 0
ML Vitebsk 4
Isloch Minsk 1
Din. Minsk 2
Slavia Mozyr 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0
Zhodino 1
BATE 2
Semi-finals
ML Vitebsk 0
Din. Minsk 3
Slavia Mozyr 0
BATE 3
Final
Din. Minsk 1
BATE 2
