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Din. Minsk vs Naftan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Dinamo, Minsk
Din. Minsk Logo

Din. Minsk

5 - 1
FT
Naftan Logo

Naftan

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Abdullahi F.
19' Event
Vardanyan K.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Ivanov A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Din. Minsk and Naftan finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Din. Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Din. Minsk
20%
Draws
23%
Naftan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Din. Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Naftan haven't matched Din. Minsk's recent run of results.
  • Din. Minsk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Din. Minsk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Din. Minsk Clean Sheet 20%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Minsk Naftan
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 17 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.56 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Din. Minsk vs Naftan
5:1
Feb 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Din. Minsk vs Naftan
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Din. Minsk vs Naftan
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs Din. Minsk
1:3
May 31, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Din. Minsk vs Naftan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Din. Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullahi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ivanov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Naftan Compare

Top Goalscorer Galimzyanov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Minsk 85 / 100
Naftan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Minsk Naftan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Minsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naftan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Din. Minsk scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Din. Minsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Din. Minsk VS Naftan
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Minsk

(Home)
04 Oct
Din. Minsk
3 : 0
Uni X Labs
19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
13 Sept
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
Page 1 of 7

Naftan

(Away)
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)