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Din. Samarkand vs Xorazm Urganch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Dinamo Samarkand Stadium, Samarkand
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Sub
Kodirkulov S. In: Abdullaev U.
Out: Kodirkulov S.
41' Event
Abdukhamidov R.
46'
Sub
Abdukhamidov R. In: Azimov S.
Out: Abdukhamidov R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Din. Samarkand
35%
Draws
13%
Xorazm Urganch
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Din. Samarkand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Din. Samarkand have won more games recently than Xorazm Urganch.
  • Win probability leans Din. Samarkand's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 20%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Samarkand Xorazm Urganch
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Xorazm Urganch
2:2
Apr 3, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Din. Samarkand
2:1
Oct 30, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Xorazm Urganch
3:1
Jun 15, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Din. Samarkand
1:2
Sep 24, 2023 Pro Liga
Din. Samarkand vs Xorazm Urganch
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Din. Samarkand Compare

Top Goalscorer Oblakulov B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdusalomov J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Xorazm Urganch Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdukhamidov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ortikboev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Samarkand 76 / 100
Xorazm Urganch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Samarkand Xorazm Urganch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Samarkand Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Din. Samarkand's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Xorazm Urganch let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Din. Samarkand stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Din. Samarkand VS Xorazm Urganch
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Samarkand

(Home)
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1
Din. Samarkand
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Xorazm Urganch

(Away)
07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2
Xorazm Urganch
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)