Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Din. Zagreb vs Varazdin

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Din. Zagreb host Varazdin in the HNL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Din. Zagreb at 3.27 goals for, 0.77 against; Varazdin at 1.62 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Din. Zagreb have won 4 to Varazdin's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.06) back Din. Zagreb to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Din. Zagreb
15%
Draws
38%
Varazdin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Din. Zagreb carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Din. Zagreb taking it.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Din. Zagreb here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 20%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Zagreb Varazdin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 25 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 0 7
Goals Scored 3.27 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Varazdin
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 HNL
Varazdin vs Din. Zagreb
0:4
Nov 22, 2025 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Varazdin
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 HNL
Varazdin vs Din. Zagreb
2:2
May 25, 2025 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Varazdin
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Zagreb 85 / 100
Varazdin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Zagreb Varazdin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Zagreb Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Zagreb's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Din. Zagreb has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Varazdin has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Din. Zagreb VS Varazdin
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Zagreb

(Home)
14 Aug
Din. Zagreb
4 : 0
Rudes
11 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris
1 : 2
Din. Zagreb
04 Aug
Din. Zagreb
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
31 Jul
Din. Zagreb
2 : 0
Slaven Belupo
28 Jul
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Thun
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Varazdin

(Away)
09 Aug
Slaven Belupo
1 : 4
Varazdin
02 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 1
Hajduk Split
30 Jul
Jablonec
2 : 0
Varazdin
23 Jul
Varazdin
3 : 2
Jablonec
16 Jul
Varazdin
2 : 0
Beltinci
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Osijek 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Varazdin 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Lok. Zagreb 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
4 Din. Zagreb 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Rijeka 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Istra 1961 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
7 Hajduk Split 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
8 HNK Gorica 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
9 Slaven Belupo 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
10 Rudes 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)