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Din. Zagreb vs Varazdin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Mladenovski M.
Assist: Canjuga I.
45'
Zajc M.
45'
Tepsic N.

AI Match Summary

The HNL game between Din. Zagreb and Varazdin finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Din. Zagreb.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Din. Zagreb
35%
Draws
27%
Varazdin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Din. Zagreb carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Din. Zagreb taking it.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Din. Zagreb here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 16%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Zagreb Varazdin
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 19 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 2.54 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Varazdin
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Varazdin
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 HNL
Varazdin vs Din. Zagreb
0:4
Nov 22, 2025 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Varazdin
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 HNL
Varazdin vs Din. Zagreb
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Din. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Beljo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galesic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Varazdin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mladenovski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Zagreb 36 / 100
Varazdin 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Zagreb Varazdin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Zagreb's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Din. Zagreb has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Varazdin has conceded goals in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Din. Zagreb VS Varazdin
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Zagreb

(Home)
04 Oct
Vukovar 1991
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Bedem Ivankovo
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
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Varazdin

(Away)
02 Oct
Aluminij
0 : 0
Varazdin
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)