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Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Batumi Arena, Batumi
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mandricenco D.
Assist: Kirkitadze T.
17'
Bliznichenko V.
29' Event
Tsulukidze L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Dinamo Batumi and Gagra finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Dinamo Batumi
35%
Draws
20%
Gagra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dinamo Batumi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Dinamo Batumi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dinamo Batumi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Dinamo Batumi Clean Sheet 68%
Gagra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Batumi Gagra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra
2:2
May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi
4:1
Aug 17, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinamo Batumi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandricenco D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Gagra Compare

Top Goalscorer Tchavtchanidze Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wanderson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Batumi 95 / 100
Gagra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Batumi Gagra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinamo Batumi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gagra conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Dinamo Batumi stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dinamo Batumi found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Dinamo Batumi VS Gagra
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinamo Batumi

(Home)
02 Oct
Noah
2 : 2
Dinamo Batumi
20 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 2
Torpedo Kutaisi
13 Sept
Dila Gori
2 : 2
Dinamo Batumi
09 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
04 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 1
Dinamo Batumi
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Gagra

(Away)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)