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Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Adjarabet Arena, Batumi
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Batumi host Gagra in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Dinamo Batumi at 1.38 goals for, 1.88 against; Gagra at 1.5 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Gagra slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 6, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.69) back Gagra to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dinamo Batumi
33%
Draws
40%
Gagra
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gagra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dinamo Batumi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gagra are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Dinamo Batumi Clean Sheet 13%
Gagra Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Batumi Gagra
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi
4:1
Aug 17, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Gagra
1:2
May 3, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Batumi 27 / 100
Gagra 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Batumi Gagra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gagra conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Dinamo Batumi found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dinamo Batumi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dinamo Batumi VS Gagra
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinamo Batumi

(Home)
25 Jul
Orbi
1 : 4
Dinamo Batumi
16 Jul
Amedspor
2 : 0
Dinamo Batumi
15 Jul
Rizespor
3 : 0
Dinamo Batumi
23 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi
2 : 1
Dinamo Batumi
17 Jun
Torpedo Kutaisi
2 : 3
Dinamo Batumi
Page 1 of 6

Gagra

(Away)
27 Jul
Samtskhe
1 : 2
Gagra
15 Jul
Gagra
3 : 1
BKMA
11 Jul
Gagra
2 : 2
Urartu
24 Jun
Gagra
0 : 0
Samgurali
18 Jun
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 1
Gagra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)