Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dinan vs La Roche Vendee

France France

National 2 - Group A Stade du Clos Gastel
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dinan play La Roche Vendee in the National 2 - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dinan averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. La Roche Vendee averaged 2.03 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Dinan won 1, La Roche Vendee won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 7, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Dinan and 1.38 for La Roche Vendee. This points to a La Roche Vendee double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Dinan
15%
Draws
53%
La Roche Vendee
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Roche Vendee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Dinan picked up more points recently compared to La Roche Vendee.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Dinan Clean Sheet 17%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinan La Roche Vendee
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.5 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Dinan vs La Roche Vendee
2:4
Aug 30, 2025 National 2 - Group A
La Roche Vendee vs Dinan
4:1
Apr 12, 2025 National 2 - Group B
Dinan vs La Roche Vendee
0:1
Nov 23, 2024 National 2 - Group B
La Roche Vendee vs Dinan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinan Compare

Top Goalscorer Julien E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bongo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

La Roche Vendee Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Araujo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinan 32 / 100
La Roche Vendee 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinan La Roche Vendee

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Roche Vendee Win (2)
Secondary Pick La Roche Vendee & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dinan attacking → ← attacking La Roche Vendee

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinan scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

La Roche Vendee let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Dinan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

La Roche Vendee lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 65
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325