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Stadium Background

Dingli Swallows vs Naxxar Lions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naxxar Lions in this FA Trophy 2012/2013 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dingli Swallows
15%
Draws
34%
Naxxar Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dingli Swallows

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naxxar Lions lately — more wins on the board than Dingli Swallows.
  • Win probability leans Dingli Swallows's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Naxxar Lions arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Naxxar Lions, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Naxxar Lions have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dingli Swallows Clean Sheet 15%
Naxxar Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dingli Swallows Naxxar Lions
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2013 Challenge League
Naxxar Lions vs Dingli Swallows
6:0
Oct 21, 2012 FA Trophy
Dingli Swallows vs Naxxar Lions
1:4
Sep 21, 2012 Challenge League
Dingli Swallows vs Naxxar Lions
1:2
Apr 7, 2012 Challenge League
Dingli Swallows vs Naxxar Lions
0:2
Oct 15, 2011 Challenge League
Naxxar Lions vs Dingli Swallows
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dingli Swallows 41 / 100
Naxxar Lions 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dingli Swallows Naxxar Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naxxar Lions has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Dingli Swallows found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Naxxar Lions lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Naxxar Lions
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dingli Swallows

(Home)
28 Oct
Dingli Swallows
1 : 3
Mqabba FC
14 Sept
Qala Saints
2 : 3
Dingli Swallows
09 Sept
Dingli Swallows
1 : 2
Sannat Lions
01 Sept
Marsaskala FC
0 : 4
Dingli Swallows
21 Oct
Zejtun
5 : 0
Dingli Swallows
Page 1 of 6

Naxxar Lions

(Away)
20 Sept
Naxxar Lions
3 : 1
Zebbug
12 Sept
Pieta
3 : 2
Naxxar Lions
10 May
Naxxar Lions
0 : 1
Mosta FC
02 May
Marsaxlokk
3 : 2
Naxxar Lions
26 Apr
Gzira
0 : 0
Naxxar Lions
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija 5
Qala Saints 0
TBD -
Pembroke -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
Attard 1
Sirens 3
Mgarr -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 0
Victoria Wanderers 3
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gharghur -
TBD -
Xghajra 0
Mtarfa 5
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
Gharb 1
Nadur 8
Sannat Lions 2
Kalkara 0
Mdina 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 2
Ghaxaq 1
TBD -
Zabbar -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
St. Venera -
TBD -
Oratory 0
Xaghra 2
Luqa 4
Qrendi 1
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Munxar 1
Xbiex 2
Kercem Ajax 4
Ghajnsielem 2
St. Lawrence 0
Senglea 2
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/32-finals
Qormi -
TBD -
Xewkija 2
Pembroke 3
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira 1
Sirens 0
Mgarr 1
Victoria Wanderers 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Dingli Swallows 1
TBD -
Balzan FC -
St. Andrews 2
Birzebbuga 0
Vittoriosa 1
Msida 2
Zurrieq 4
Fgura 0
Kirkop 0
Mqabba FC 3
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gharghur 4
Mtarfa 1
Siggiewi 1
Lija 3
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Zejtun 3
San Gwann 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Nadur 1
Sannat Lions 6
Swieqi 1
Marsa 1
Zabbar 2
Pieta 1
St. George's FC 0
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Zebbug 3
Mellieha 0
TBD -
Sliema -
St. Venera 3
Xaghra 2
Luqa 1
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja 6
Xbiex 0
Kercem Ajax 1
Senglea 2
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/16-finals
Qormi 5
Pembroke 2
Tarxien 0
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 1
Victoria Wanderers 0
Naxxar Lions 3
Balzan FC 4
St. Andrews 2
Msida 0
Zurrieq 1
Mqabba FC 2
Floriana 2
Melita 0
Gharghur 1
Lija 2
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Zejtun 1
Nadur 3
Sannat Lions 2
Zabbar 1
Pieta 0
Rabat Ajax 1
Zebbug 2
Sliema 1
St. Venera 1
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja 2
Senglea 0
Mosta FC 1
Hibernians 2
1/8-finals
Qormi 2
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Balzan FC 3
St. Andrews 4
Mqabba FC 1
Floriana 0
Lija 1
Valletta 2
Nadur 0
Sannat Lions 0
Rabat Ajax 5
Zebbug 3
Marsaskala FC 0
Gudja 0
Hibernians 4
Quarter-finals
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 0
St. Andrews 0
Lija 1
Valletta 3
Rabat Ajax 0
Zebbug 0
Hibernians 3
Semi-finals
Qormi 1
Lija 0
Valletta 2
Hibernians 3
Final
Qormi 1
Hibernians 3