Sport Picks

Ethiopia

Premier League

Dire Dawa

2 - 0

Sheger Ketema FC

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Abdisa J.

84'

Yusuf A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Dire Dawa and Sheger Ketema FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dire Dawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Dire Dawa

39%

Draws

31%

Sheger Ketema FC

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Sheger Ketema FC carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 20%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

Dire Dawa Clean Sheet 68%

Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dire Dawa	Sheger Ketema FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	8
Draws	13	14
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	0.63	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League

Dire Dawa vs Sheger Ketema FC

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Jan 27, 2026 Premier League

Sheger Ketema FC vs Dire Dawa

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dire Dawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdisa J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yusuf A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Sheger Ketema FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dire Dawa 41 / 100

Sheger Ketema FC 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dire Dawa Sheger Ketema FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dire Dawa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dire Dawa scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Sheger Ketema FC has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dire Dawa VS Sheger Ketema FC

0.63 Goals Scored 0.75

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5

75% Over 1.5 38%

25% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	38	19	11	8	43:23	68
2	Negele Arsi Ketema FC	38	15	15	8	37:30	60
3	Mechal SC	38	14	15	9	44:31	57
4	Fasil Kenema	38	14	13	11	28:28	55
5	Ethio Electric S.C.	38	13	15	10	32:26	54
6	St. Georges	38	14	12	12	33:31	54
7	Welayta Dicha	38	11	18	9	37:31	51
8	Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)	38	13	12	13	40:39	51
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	50
10	Sheger Ketema FC	38	11	17	10	34:31	50
11	Bahir Dar Kenema	38	9	21	8	28:28	48
12	Hadiya Hossana	38	11	15	12	31:35	48
13	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	38	11	14	13	45:45	47
14	Ethiopian Insurance	38	10	16	12	30:31	46
15	Adama City	38	10	16	12	35:39	46
16	Welwalo Adigrat	38	10	16	12	32:36	46
17	Shire Endaselassie	38	9	15	14	24:32	42
18	Dire Dawa	38	9	15	14	27:41	42
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	38	8	16	14	26:38	40
20	Arba Menche	38	7	14	17	30:46	35