Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Alemayehu B.
27'
27'
Tunjo A.
38'
38'
Gulilat H.
AI Match Summary
St. Georges in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Georges.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Georges
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- St. Georges have won more games recently than Dire Dawa.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Dire Dawa Clean Sheet 22%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dire Dawa | St. Georges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 28, 2026 Premier League
Dire Dawa vs St. Georges
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
St. Georges vs Dire Dawa
4:0
Mar 12, 2025 Premier League
St. Georges vs Dire Dawa
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Premier League
Dire Dawa vs St. Georges
0:2
Jun 14, 2024 Premier League
Dire Dawa vs St. Georges
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dire Dawa Compare
Top Goalscorer Tunjo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
St. Georges Compare
Top Goalscorer Alemayehu B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gulilat H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dire Dawa 32 / 100
St. Georges 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dire Dawa St. Georges
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Georges Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. Georges has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Dire Dawa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Dire Dawa's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Dire Dawa VS St. Georges
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Dire Dawa
(Home) 01 Jul
Dire Dawa
2 : 1 Arba Menche
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0 Sheger Ketema FC
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0 Dire Dawa
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Dire Dawa
2 : 1 Arba Menche
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0 Sheger Ketema FC
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
15 May
Dire Dawa
0 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
05 May
Dire Dawa
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 3
St. Georges
(Away) 02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
14 May
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 St. Georges
05 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 0 St. Georges
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
