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Diriangen vs Ocotal

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Carballo R.
54' Event
Hernandez M.
56' Event
Acevedo T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera 2024/2025 game between Diriangen and Ocotal finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diriangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Diriangen
15%
Draws
16%
Ocotal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diriangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Ocotal haven't matched Diriangen's recent run of results.
  • Diriangen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Diriangen have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 68%
Ocotal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diriangen Ocotal
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 25 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 2.18 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.05 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2025 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs Diriangen
0:2
Feb 24, 2025 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Ocotal
5:0
Nov 25, 2024 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Ocotal
6:0
Sep 30, 2024 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs Diriangen
0:2
Apr 3, 2024 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Ocotal
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diriangen Compare

Top Goalscorer Carballo R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Ocotal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diriangen 95 / 100
Ocotal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diriangen Ocotal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diriangen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Diriangen scored in 92% of their last 39 outings.

Defensive concern: Ocotal conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Diriangen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diriangen VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Diriangen

(Home)
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
07 Sept
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Diriangen
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Esteli
0 : 2
Diriangen
Page 1 of 8

Ocotal

(Away)
30 Apr
Ocotal
0 : 2
Diriangen
27 Apr
Sport Sebaco
2 : 1
Ocotal
17 Apr
Esteli
3 : 2
Ocotal
13 Apr
UNAN-Managua
4 : 0
Ocotal
07 Apr
Ocotal
2 : 0
Rancho Santana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteli 18 15 1 2 42:17 46
2 Managua FC 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
3 Diriangen 18 11 2 5 34:21 35
4 Walter Ferreti 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
5 Sport Sebaco 18 6 5 7 19:23 23
6 Matagalpa 18 5 6 7 25:30 21
7 UNAN-Managua 18 5 5 8 20:28 20
8 Jalapa 18 4 6 8 18:25 18
9 Rancho Santana 18 3 6 9 15:26 15
10 Ocotal 18 3 3 12 18:40 12
Promotion - Liga Primera 2024/2025 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2024/2025 (Clausura - Winners)