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Discoveries vs Freeport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Discoveries host Freeport in the LFA First Division. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Freeport have shipped 2.15 goals a game lately, while Discoveries have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.34. Past meetings favor Discoveries slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.19) point toward Discoveries. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Discoveries
35%
Draws
32%
Freeport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Discoveries carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Discoveries have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Discoveries Clean Sheet 20%
Freeport Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Discoveries Freeport
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.34 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Discoveries
0:2
Nov 6, 2025 LFA First Division
Discoveries vs Freeport
3:1
Feb 24, 2025 LFA First Division
Discoveries vs Freeport
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Discoveries
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Discoveries 36 / 100
Freeport 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Discoveries Freeport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freeport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freeport has conceded goals in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Attacking prowess: Discoveries scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Discoveries went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Discoveries VS Freeport
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Discoveries

(Home)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
Discoveries
1 : 0
Liberia Registry
05 May
Wologizi
0 : 0
Discoveries
29 Apr
Discoveries
0 : 1
Watanga
Page 1 of 7

Freeport

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Invincible Eleven 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 LPRC Oiler 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 NPA Anchors 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Liberia Registry 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Watanga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Discoveries 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Freeport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 BEA Mountain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Heaven Eleven 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Paynesville 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Shaita 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Black Man Warrior 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Gardnersville 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Downtown 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Wologizi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borough FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Golden Dream 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 District 17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)