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Diyala vs Al Golan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Tanji H.
Assist: Ly M. Y.
7' Event
Tanji H.
Assist: Coulibaly D.
32' Event
Hamzah A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Diyala and Al Golan finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Diyala
30%
Draws
51%
Al Golan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Golan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Diyala come out ahead of Al Golan on wins alone.
  • Al Golan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Diyala Clean Sheet 19%
Al Golan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diyala Al Golan
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 1.03 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Golan
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diyala Compare

Top Goalscorer Sioud N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmed S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Al Golan Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanji H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diyala 10 / 100
Al Golan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diyala Al Golan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Golan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Diyala's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Diyala has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Golan conceded in 54% of 13 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Diyala VS Al Golan
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Diyala

(Home)
05 Nov
Diyala
0 : 0
Al Minaa
31 Oct
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Diyala
24 Oct
Newroz
0 : 0
Diyala
16 Oct
Diyala
2 : 0
Naft Missan
09 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Diyala
Page 1 of 6

Al Golan

(Away)
07 Nov
Al Zawraa
0 : 3
Al Golan
29 Oct
Al Mosul
2 : 4
Al Golan
23 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 1
Al Kahraba
17 Oct
Al Golan
2 : 0
Duhok
09 Oct
Al Gharraf
0 : 0
Al Golan
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)