Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Diyala vs Al Golan

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Tanji H.
Assist: Ly M. Y.
7' Event
Tanji H.
Assist: Coulibaly D.
32' Event
Hamzah A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Diyala and Al Golan finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Diyala
35%
Draws
35%
Al Golan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Diyala come out ahead of Al Golan on wins alone.
  • Diyala are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Diyala Clean Sheet 18%
Al Golan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diyala Al Golan
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 9 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Golan
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diyala Compare

Top Goalscorer Sioud N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmed S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Golan Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanji H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diyala 41 / 100
Al Golan 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diyala Al Golan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Diyala's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Golan has conceded goals in 63% of their last 8 outings.

Solid form: Diyala remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Diyala VS Al Golan
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Diyala

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Diyala
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1
Al Gharraf
08 Sept
Erbil
2 : 0
Diyala
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2
Al-Karma
29 Aug
Diyala
3 : 3
Al Golan
Page 1 of 6

Al Golan

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2
Newroz
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
04 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 1
Al Golan
29 Aug
Diyala
3 : 3
Al Golan
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)