Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Diyala vs Al-Hudod

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sfaxi A.
33' Event
Sfaxi A.
Penalty Missed
45' Event
Jaffal M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Diyala in this Stars League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Diyala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Diyala
20%
Draws
51%
Al-Hudod
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Hudod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Diyala have won more games recently than Al-Hudod.
  • Win probability leans Diyala's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Stars League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al-Hudod here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Diyala Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Hudod Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diyala Al-Hudod
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.06 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Al-Hudod
2:0
Jan 13, 2025 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Diyala
1:0
Mar 27, 2009 Stars League
Diyala vs Al-Hudod
0:1
Dec 5, 2008 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Diyala
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diyala Compare

Top Goalscorer Sfaxi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Hudod Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diyala 68 / 100
Al-Hudod 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diyala Al-Hudod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diyala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Hudod has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Diyala's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Diyala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diyala VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Diyala

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Diyala
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1
Al Gharraf
08 Sept
Erbil
2 : 0
Diyala
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2
Al-Karma
29 Aug
Diyala
3 : 3
Al Golan
Page 1 of 7

Al-Hudod

(Away)
04 Jul
Karbala
2 : 3
Al-Hudod
25 Jun
Al Shorta
3 : 1
Al-Hudod
18 Jun
Al-Hudod
1 : 0
Naft Missan
14 Jun
Al Kahraba
1 : 2
Al-Hudod
20 May
Al-Hudod
0 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 38 26 9 3 75:23 87
2 Al Zawraa 38 23 8 7 56:28 77
3 Zakho 38 20 11 7 57:25 71
4 Al Talaba 38 18 9 11 40:27 63
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 17 9 12 51:43 60
6 Al Naft 38 15 14 9 32:27 59
7 Duhok 38 16 9 13 47:41 57
8 Al-Karma 38 15 11 12 43:35 56
9 Newroz 38 14 11 13 46:41 53
10 Al-Qassim 38 13 13 12 43:43 52
11 Naft Missan 38 14 9 15 42:46 51
12 Erbil 38 15 5 18 49:61 50
13 Al Kahraba 38 12 13 13 39:41 49
14 Al Najaf 38 11 13 14 37:36 46
15 Al Karkh 38 12 10 16 40:49 46
16 Al Minaa 38 11 10 17 39:44 43
17 Diyala 38 10 11 17 31:50 41
18 Naft Al-Basra 38 8 9 21 32:57 33
19 Al-Hudod 38 8 2 28 37:79 26
20 Karbala 38 4 10 24 26:66 22
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)