Sport Picks
Diyala vs Al Kahraba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 2025/2026 
Match Events
19'
19'
Esquerdinha L.
57'
57'
Sabarah A. M.
57'
57'
Sabarah A. M.
AI Match Summary
Al Kahraba in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Kahraba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Kahraba average 1.3 goals a game right now, well clear of Diyala's 1.07.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Stars League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Diyala Clean Sheet 68%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Diyala | Al Kahraba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Kahraba
0:2
Nov 22, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Diyala
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Diyala
1:1
Oct 30, 2024 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Kahraba
1:2
Jul 8, 2011 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Diyala
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Diyala Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Al Kahraba Compare
Top Goalscorer Esquerdinha L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Salah M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Diyala 41 / 100
Al Kahraba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Diyala Al Kahraba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Diyala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Diyala scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Al Kahraba has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Diyala has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Diyala VS Al Kahraba
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Diyala
(Home) 19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Diyala
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1 Al Gharraf
08 Sept
Erbil
2 : 0 Diyala
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2 Al Karma
29 Aug
Diyala
3 : 3 Al Golan
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1 Al Gharraf
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2 Al Karma
29 Aug
Diyala
3 : 3 Al Golan
15 Aug
Diyala
2 : 1 Al Talaba
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0 Duhok
Page 1 of 3
Al Kahraba
(Away) 19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0 Al Kahraba
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1 Al Minaa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0 Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0 Al Gharraf
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2 Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0 Al Kahraba
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0 Al Kahraba
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2 Al Kahraba
20 Aug
Ghaz Al Shamal
1 : 1 Al Kahraba
16 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0 Al Kahraba
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 62:28 | 89 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 69:32 | 80 |
| 3 | Erbil | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 59:32 | 79 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:32 | 66 |
| 5 | Al Karma | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 53:26 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53:38 | 65 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Newroz | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 48:47 | 54 |
| 9 | Zakho | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 49:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Duhok | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Diyala | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 33:34 | 48 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:43 | 44 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 48:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 38:47 | 40 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 37 | 11 | 5 | 21 | 44:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 47:68 | 37 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 31:68 | 23 |
| 20 | Al Qassim | 38 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 21:96 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
