Sport Picks
Match Events
55'
55'
Maghrebi T.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Djelma and Ariana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djelma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Djelma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Djelma come out ahead of Ariana on wins alone.
- Djelma are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Djelma Clean Sheet 19%
Ariana Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Djelma | Ariana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Ligue 2
Djelma vs Ariana
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Ligue 2
Ariana vs Djelma
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Djelma 36 / 100
Ariana 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Djelma Ariana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Djelma found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Ariana let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Djelma went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Djelma VS Ariana
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Djelma
(Home) 12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
02 May
Korba
1 : 0 Djelma
28 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 1 Djelma
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 Kasserine
11 Apr
Kalaa
1 : 0 Djelma
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 Kasserine
04 Apr
Djelma
1 : 1 Moknine
27 Feb
Djelma
1 : 1 Bouchamma
15 Feb
Djelma
1 : 0 Ariana
Page 1 of 3
Ariana
(Away) 04 Oct
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0 Ariana
27 Sept
Ariana
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
16 Aug
Club Africain
2 : 0 Ariana
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1 Ariana
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1 Gafsa
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0 Ariana
16 Aug
Club Africain
2 : 0 Ariana
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1 Ariana
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0 Ariana
11 Apr
Korba
1 : 0 Ariana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
