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Djelma vs Kasserine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Djelma Logo

Djelma

1 - 0
FT
Kasserine Logo

Kasserine

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Salhi G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Djelma and Kasserine finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djelma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Djelma
15%
Draws
59%
Kasserine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kasserine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kasserine come out ahead of Djelma on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Kasserine taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Djelma Clean Sheet 19%
Kasserine Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djelma Kasserine
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Ligue 2
Djelma vs Kasserine
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Kasserine vs Djelma
2:1
Apr 30, 2025 Ligue 2
Kasserine vs Djelma
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Ligue 2
Djelma vs Kasserine
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djelma Compare

Top Goalscorer Salhi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Kasserine Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djelma 28 / 100
Kasserine 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djelma Kasserine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kasserine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djelma found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Kasserine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Djelma went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Djelma VS Kasserine
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Djelma

(Home)
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0
Stade Gabesien
02 May
Korba
1 : 0
Djelma
28 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 1
Djelma
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0
Kasserine
11 Apr
Kalaa
1 : 0
Djelma
Page 1 of 6

Kasserine

(Away)
04 Oct
Kasserine
1 : 0
Olympique Kef
27 Sept
Gafsa
1 : 2
Kasserine
25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0
Kasserine
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0
Ksour Essef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0
Kasserine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)