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Djelma vs Ksour Essef

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Nabi R.
90' Event
Chaabani L.

AI Match Summary

Djelma in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Djelma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Djelma
15%
Draws
36%
Ksour Essef
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Djelma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ksour Essef have won more games recently than Djelma.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Djelma Clean Sheet 16%
Ksour Essef Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djelma Ksour Essef
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.8 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Djelma vs Ksour Essef
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Ligue 2
Ksour Essef vs Djelma
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djelma Compare

Top Goalscorer Nabi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chaabani L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ksour Essef Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djelma 31 / 100
Ksour Essef 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djelma Ksour Essef

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Djelma found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Ksour Essef's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Ksour Essef registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Djelma VS Ksour Essef
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Djelma

(Home)
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0
Stade Gabesien
02 May
Korba
1 : 0
Djelma
28 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 1
Djelma
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0
Kasserine
11 Apr
Kalaa
1 : 0
Djelma
Page 1 of 6

Ksour Essef

(Away)
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0
Ksour Essef
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2
Kalaa
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1
Ksour Essef
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2
Gafsa
11 Apr
Bouchamma
4 : 1
Ksour Essef
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)