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Djerv 1919 vs Vag

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kjostvedt E.
16' Event
Horneland T.
22' Event
Solstrand A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2025 game between Djerv 1919 and Vag finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djerv 1919.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Djerv 1919
17%
Draws
13%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Djerv 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Djerv 1919 come out ahead of Vag on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Djerv 1919's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Djerv 1919 Clean Sheet 19%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djerv 1919 Vag
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Djerv 1919 vs Vag
4:1
Jun 21, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vag vs Djerv 1919
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djerv 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Horneland T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solstrand A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjostvedt E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djerv 1919 67 / 100
Vag 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djerv 1919 Vag

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DJE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djerv 1919 scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Vag's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Djerv 1919 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Djerv 1919 VS Vag
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%